Fri 11/06/2021 - 09:40 EDT

UFC 263 Best Betting Picks: Running Back Two Barn Burners

UFC 263 Best Betting Picks: Running Back Two Barn Burners

UFC 263 is chalk-heavy, but that only means that our UFC 263 betting picks can get explosive if we hit on a big underdog play. Yes, we're back at it calling for another upset to shake the UFC. As you'll find with the betting odds (via SportsInteraction (SIA) here, the underdogs can cause a stir with a win:

Fighter #1 sports-interaction sports-interaction Fighter #2

 Israel Adesanya

1.33 3.20 Marvin Vettori

Deiveson Figueiredo 

1.34 3.10 Brandon Moreno

Leon Edwards

1.20 4.40 Nate Diaz 

Demian Maia

2.85  1.40 Belal Muhammad

Paul Craig

3.25   1.32 Jamahal Hill

UFC 263: Oliveira vs Chandler Bouts*

  • Middleweight Championship: Israel Adesanya (c) (20-1-0) vs Marvin Vettori (17-3-1)
  • Flyweight Championship: Deiveson Figueiredo (c) (20-1-1) vs Brandon Moreno (18-5-2)
  • Welterweight (Five Rounds): Leon Edwards (18-3-0) vs Nate Diaz (20-12-0)
  • Welterweight: Demian Maia (28-10-0) vs Belal Muhammad (18-3-0)
  • Light Heavyweight: Paul Craig (14-4-1) vs Jamahal Hill (8-0-0)
  • Lightweight: Drew Dober (23-10-0) vs Brad Riddell (9-1-0)
  • Light Heavyweight: Eryk Anders (13-5-0) vs Darren Stewart (12-6-0)
  • Women's Flyweight: Lauren Murphy (14-4-0) vs Joanne Calderwood (15-5-0)
  • Featherweight: Movsar Evloev (14-0-0) vs Hakeem Dawodu (12-1-1)
  • Women's Bantamweight: Pannie Kianzad (14-5-0) vs Alexis Davis (20-10-0)
  • Lightweight: Frank Camacho (22-9-0) vs Matt Frevola (8-2-1)
  • Women's Bantamweight: Sijara Eubanks (6-6-0) vs Karol Rosa (14-3-0)
  • Featherweight: Chase Hooper (10-1-1) vs Steven Peterson (18-9-0)
  • Lightweight: Fares Ziam (11-3-0) vs Luigi Vendramini (9-1-0)
  • Heavyweight: Carlos Felipe (10-1-0) vs Jake Collier (12-5-0) 

*Subject to change closer to the event

UFC 263 Picks & Predictions

UFC 263 presents another stacked event with plenty of opportunities to hit big dog bets. Our dog bet for UFC 262 dog bet got pushed, but we see this new PPV as a chance to go even bigger:

Middleweight Championship: Israel Adesanya (c) (1.33) vs Marvin Vettori (3.20)

To this day, Vettori has given Adesanya his toughest test outside of the Kelvin Gastelum fight. And that was three years ago. Both fighters have been unbeatable combining for a 12-0 record in the division. Adesanya has been virtually untouchable on his feet.

But Adesanya has looked a lot less impressive against fighters who are a wrestling threat. He got beat by Jan Blachowicz who used his size and wrestling to neutralize him. Kelvin Gastelum, another potent wrestler almost beat him and Vettori himself used takedowns to make the fight close. 

mervin vettori betting picks

Still, Adesanya found ways to win most of these fights. Vettori could try the same approach and apply his pressure-heavy approach. The "Italian Dream" is one of the busiest fighters in the UFC. He can outstrike grapplers, landing 164 significant strikes against Jack Hermansson, or wrestle strikers, landing 11 takedowns on Kevin Holland.     

SBR’s pick — Vettori (3.20). While Adesanya should still edge this one, Vettori's high work rate and potent wrestling could give the champ a run for his money. We could see another contested decision here. But at over double your cash, it's worth betting the decision swings to Vettori's favour.

Tip: Check out more top sportsbooks like BetOnline and SportsBetting to catch some promos for big UFC fights like this.

Flyweight Championship: Deiveson Figueiredo (c) (1.34) vs Brandon Moreno (3.10)

The best thing about the first fight ending in a draw is getting an immediate sequel to it. Hot damn is this one going to be another exciting one. However, as much as our hearts are with Moreno, our money is on the champ. Figueiredo or "Figgy" had the first fight won had he not carelessly gotten a point deducted. 

Now, Figgy has seen what Moreno can do and will be better prepared to deal with him. The first fight was incredibly close. Figgy landed 137 significant strikes and two takedowns while Moreno landed 132 and four.

But beyond the stats, Figgy was landing the more powerful shots and had this been like the ONE scoring system, he'd have won a clear-cut decision. Point deduction and all. The "Deus De Guerra" gets better in rematches or after unsuccessful results.   

SBR’s pick — Figueiredo (1.34) There is value in Moreno as a 2-1 underdog, but Figgy after making the adjustments should be able to piece up Moreno more effectively. The "Assassin Baby" is tough, but he's still hittable and gets himself into bad spots. Figgy brings more power and that's the clincher here.

Welterweight (Five Rounds): Leon Edwards (1.20) vs Nate Diaz (4.40)

Edwards and Diaz engage in the first-ever five-round fight that isn't a championship or main event. But whether this is three or five rounds, Edwards should prevail. We love Diaz as much as any fight fan, but he hasn't evolved for a decade. The book has been out on him for ages: don't box with him.

"Rocky", despite being a striker has used wrestling to his advantage and he'll do it here. Expect Edwards to not trifle with Diaz on their feet. He'll find a way to mix it up whether it's taking him down, clinching him up, or just making the fight as uneventful as possible.

SBR’s pick — Edwards (1.20).  Diaz's only path to victory is for Edwards is to stand in front of him and trade shots. No chance. This fight may not be the most exciting, but that's good for Edwards backers. Throw him into a parlay and don't sweat it. 

All of the UFC 263 fights and odds are found from the best online sportsbooks. To get as many props and betting markets, sign up for more than one book. You can also avail of the deposit bonuses so you have more cash to play with. 

Category : Sports News

Tag : UFC 263 picks

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