An in-depth look at the Toronto Blue Jays’ postseason hopes with the regular season about to come to an end.
Who Will Win Super Bowl 54?
The San Francisco 49ers and Kansas City Chiefs are considered two of the most well matched teams in Super Bowl odds history. Both squads featured outstanding defense and an unstoppable attack on their march to Miami. Super Bowl Vegas odds favor the Chiefs slightly, along with popular opinion, which makes Kansas a popular bet outside of San Francisco.
Let’s start this article by having a quick look at the current Super Bowl odds.
Super Bowl 2020 Moneyline Odds
- San Francisco 49ers +105
- Kansas City Chiefs -125
The Kansas City Chiefs have been the most impressive team in the playoffs, rightfully considered the favourites for odds to win the Super Bowl 2020. They buzzed through the divisional and conference finals, spotting their opponents’ double-digit leads before roaring back to convincing comebacks en route to their first Super Bowl in 50 years.
Most of the fame goes to Patrick Mahomes, now considered the best quarterback in the NFL. His biggest play wasn’t even made with his arm. Instead, his 27-yard rumble became an all-time playoff highlight, showcasing his ability to make plays in and out of the pocket.
Sure, Kansas gave up big leads to the Texans and the Titans, but the Chiefs defence have been one of the most underrated crews since their late November bye week. They finished with the seventh-best defence during the 2019 regular season, allowing a bit more than 15 points per game over their last seven games – including the playoffs.
However, anyone who underestimates the San Francisco 49ers ignores their considerable achievements over the regular season and their dismantling of two of the top teams in the NFC. The 49ers finished with the second-most points scored during the regular season, leveraging a punishing rush and opportunistic quarterback play from Jimmy Garoppolo.
San Francisco’s defence tired a bit towards the end of the season, because of injuries and an early bye week. They snapped out of their funk against the Vikings, limiting Minnesota to only 10 points. They held Aaron Rodgers and the Packers to only 20 points, shutting down Green Bay’s rush and grabbing a pair of picks against the future hall of famer.
Despite finishing one spot above the Chiefs in terms of points allowed during the NFL regular season, the 49ers arguably possess the superior defensive unit. Similarly, the Chiefs have the better offence even though San Francisco outscored them during the regular campaign.
Super Bowl odds 2020 list these two excellent teams neck-and-neck, with the slightly favoured Chiefs earning most of the early wagering action, pushing Kansas City a bit further ahead in the odds.
These teams are as closely matched as any in Super Bowl history. Kansas can’t afford to get off to another slow start, and the 49ers don’t want to get into a shootout with the Chiefs. Expect the Chiefs to enter Super Bowl 54 more focused than their previous playoff games, edging the 49ers.
Pick – Kansas City Chiefs -125
Super Bowl 2020 Spread
- Chiefs -1.0 -115
- 49ers +1.0 -105
During the run-up to the Super Bowl, these two teams are considered to be as well-matched as any pair in history. Only three Super Bowls have featured spreads of one point or less – Super Bowl 7, Super Bowl 16, and Super Bowl 49, the latter of which was considered a pick ‘em.
Essentially, when a spread hovers around one point, the best bet is to pick the team you believe will win.
Super Bowl 25 was the only time the championship was decided by one point, and that was the infamous ‘Norwood wide right’ miss that handed the ring to the Giants. If this unlikely scenario repeats, the result will be a push, another rare betting result.
Since the Chiefs are the favourites to win, picking Kansas City to cover the spread provides excellent value compared to the moneyline, which pays off far less.
Pick Chiefs -1.0 -115
Super Bowl 2020 Over/Under
- Over 54.0 -110
- Under 54.0 -110
A point total of 54 represents a relatively lofty projected over/under, which makes sense given the explosive offences of the Chiefs and the 49ers. The total has been 50 or above only ten times in Super Bowl history. Often, jittery nerves prevent teams from executing their offensive game plans on a high level, with at least one of the two teams failing to play up to their potential.
It should also be noted that seven out of ten times that the over/under was 50 or above, the under ended up winning. Also, the Chiefs defence stopped Derrick Henry, who plowed through the Patriots and the Ravens but couldn’t muster another big day against Kansas. For these reasons, under is the safer bets with Super Bowl sportsbooks.
Pick Under 54.0 -110
Prop Bets Super Bowl 2020
Super Bowl MVP
- Patrick Mahomes +110
- Jimmy Garoppolo +200
- Raheem Mostert +500
- Travis Kelce +1600
- Tyreek Hill +1600
- George Kittle +2800
The overwhelming number of Super Bowl MVP winners have been quarterbacks throughout the history of the big game, with defenders least likely to receive the award. For Super Bowl prop bets 2020, Patrick Mahomes will be a decent bet at +110, which would more than double your wager. He’s one of the most exciting players in the league, capable of creating spectacular plays out of nowhere.
In terms of an excellent longshot MVP candidate, Raheem Mostert could be one of the few running backs to win the award if he repeats his 4 TD romp against the Packers. San Francisco will lean on the run more than on Jimmy, making Raheem a high risk, high reward proposition.
First Scoring Play
- Chiefs Touchdown +163
- 49ers Touchdown +180
- Chiefs Field Goal +380
- 49ers Field Goal +400
- Chiefs Safety +5500
- 49ers Safety +5500
- No Scoring Play +6000
Rule out safety as the first score of the Super Bowl. It’s only happened once in modern history. Kansas has gotten into the habit of giving up points early in the game, which leans the trend towards San Francisco. Betting on a 49ers field goal pays out very well, and is completely plausible given the magnitude of the game.
First Half Moneyline
- 49ers +100
- Chiefs -118
- Tie +750
Kansas City tends to finish the first half strong, seeming to figure out the defence before methodically picking them apart with outstanding playcalling and incredible playmaking by Mahomes and the Chiefs secondary. Picking the Chiefs in the first half is a safe bet.
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