Wed 19/07/2017 - 14:24 EDT

    CFL Week 5 Predictions

    CFL Week 5 Predictions

    CFL Today's Games

    Having one team playing twice in the same week is an interesting dynamic that only happens in the CFL, and depending on how the Redblacks do on Wednesday against Montreal, we could have some great situational angles applicable for their Monday game in Toronto. That's neither here nor there though at the moment, which means it's the other three games that I'll be looking at this week.

    Results / FixturesCFL

    Week 4's free picks weren't up to par with a 1-2 ATS record and they put a halt to two consecutive winning weeks. This week's games present another opportunity to get a few more winners under our belts as we've got Edmonton in Hamilton on Thursday, Winnipeg in BC on Friday, and Saskatchewan in Calgary on Saturday. Those are the three games outside of Ottawa's two contests and each one of them presents interesting scenarios.

    For one, Hamilton remains the only winless team of the bunch and a second consecutive week at home is a great spot for them to get off that slide. But they are hosting an undefeated Edmonton team that's looked very impressive in all three of their wins. 

    BC is back at home after three straight weeks on the East Coast and it will be interesting to see how they respond to sweeping their East Coast swing, while Calgary is looking to bounce back at home after suffering their first loss of the year. The Stampeders enter Week 5 as by far the biggest favorite on the board, and that's something bettors can't ignore either. 

    Canadian Football League Picks Week 5

    Week 4 saw home teams go 3-1 ATS and SU, while underdogs split the board with a 2-2 record. Like last week, the majority of the games this week are lined in the +/- 4 point-range, with the outlier being Calgary as 10-point home favorites agains the Roughriders. Some bettors like to ride hot trends in the CFL - in this case home teams - but it's always important to try and stay ahead of the curve and not react to it. So let's get right to this week's free betting selections:

    Hamilton is still looking for their first victory of the year but I'm not quite ready to go that far with them against Edmonton this week. I am expecting the Tigercats to be much better overall and have a better chance at a W, but their secondary is still atrocious and should get lit up by Edmonton's passing attack. Hamilton has allowed at least 30 points in all three of their games this year and that's not likely to change this week.

    Edmonton has yet to go 'over' a posted total this year, but this should be the week that streak is snapped. The Eskimos had their highest point output in their only other road game this year (30 pts in Week 1) and QB Mike Reilly has to be licking his chops when looking at film of Hamilton's pass defence. This game has the markings of a shootout all over it and we should see another Tigercats game finish with 60+ points. 

    This line opened up as high as -9 at some sportsbooks, but the news of BC backup QB Travis Lulay starting in place of the injured Jonathan Jennings has forced much of this move. There is also the scenario of the Lions being back at home for the first time in a month and there are many bettors who like to fade teams in that spot over the course of a season.

    However, this line move has gone too far now and the value definitely lies with the home team from BC. Winnipeg has looked good for two of their three games so far, but against the only "elite" team they've faced (Calgary) they were overmatched and looked awful. More of the same should be in store for them against BC who hopefully get over their travel-weary notions early on. 

    Saskatchewan comes out of their bye week as 10-point underdogs in Calgary and that number is simply too high. The Roughriders appeared to find something on offense in their win over Hamilton last time out - but who hasn't vs the Tigercats so far - and the extra week to prepare for a talented Stampeders squad should help Saskatchewan stay well within this number.

    Furthermore, we've got a highly profitable situation involved in this game and that's fading a quality team after their first SU loss of the year (as long as it's three or four weeks in). Calgary suffered that loss - their first in the regular season since early last season - last week in Montreal and now not only can we fade them against the point spread, we are getting double digits too. A 10-point spread is too many points for Calgary to cover in this spot and too good to pass up.

    If you've enjoyed reading these free pick previews every week for the 2017 CFL action and haven't gotten down on any action yet, what are you waiting for? All the great sportsbooks listed below have tremendous offers - from initial deposit bonuses to reduced juice - for their bettors, and also have some of the best CFL numbers out there. 

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      Category : Sports News

      Tag : bc lions , calgary stampeders , cfl , edmonton eskimos , Football , hamilton tiger-cats , saskatchewan roughriders , Winnipeg Blue Bombers

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