Wed 20/09/2017 - 19:54 EDT

    CFL Week 14 Predictions

    CFL Week 14 Predictions

    CFL Today's Games

    Week 13 was definitely "unlucky" 13 for my free betting picks as they went 0-2 ATS after Edmonton and Montreal left their respective games with losses. Those results continued a tough little stretch for this weekly piece, but I'm looking to turn that all around this week. The talent disparity between teams in the West and the East appears to be continually growing, but that doesn't mean we can't find some value in some inflated point spreads this week as the "must win" moniker starts to get attached to certain teams.

    Results / FixturesCFL

    The Week 14 action gets going with the Ottawa Redblacks in Winnipeg on Friday night, and with the QB situation very much up in the air for Ottawa right now, it's tough to really get a strong read on that game. Ottawa has won four of their last five contests overall, but if 3rd string QB Ryan Lindley is forced to go the entire way, the Redblacks will be in tough this week. 

    The night-cap of that Friday double-header pits Hamilton in BC to play the Lions. Hamilton is catching double-digit points on the road for the fourth straight time, and they are 2-1 SU and ATS in those prior three games. BC has their own work to do to catch up in to the rest of the West teams ahead of them in the standings.

    Finally, on Saturday night we've got Montreal and Toronto doing battle in Ontario's Capital, while Calgary looks to win their 9th straight game in Saskatchewan on Sunday afternoon. That Calgary/Saskatchewan game doesn't have a point spread currently as the Riders are extremely banged up across the board and don't know for sure who will be under centre. With no spread available, there will be no pick on that game here this week, but it's tough not to like Calgary no matter the number with the way they are rolling right now. 

    Canadian Football League Picks Week 14

    Hamilton has played five straight games 'under' the total, but those results aren't for a lack of trying to go 'over.' The Tigercats have allowed at least 22 points in all five of those games and twice they gave up 37+. But their own lack off offense in those games has been the reason why 'over' bettors have come up just short in all of those contests, but that streak should end this week.

    Hamilton's first game vs. BC this year had an identical 51.5 total and the two teams combined for 67 points in a 41-27 BC victory. This time the Lions are at home and in desperate need of a win after dropping four of their last five overall, and I believe we see another shootout here. 

    I say that because the 'over' is a perfect 8-0 O/U the last eight times these two have played in Vancouver, and Hamilton is on a 7-3 O/U run after failing to cover the spread in their last outing. Meanwhile, the Lions are on a 7-3 O/U run themselves at home, and after getting shutdown by a tremendous Calgary defense a week ago, facing this sieve-like Tigercats defense will feel like a cakewalk for the Lions offense.

    The Montreal Alouettes let me down a week ago with yet another brutal performance against Ottawa, but I've got no problem going back to the well once again with them this week. QB Darian Durant has been abysmal during this five-game losing streak the Alouettes are on, but Montreal is sticking with him this week, and getting a full week of practice under their new HC should help out the entire Montreal team on both sides of the ball.

    But what makes me grab the points here with the Alouettes is the fact that it's "put up or shut up" time for Montreal regarding their playoff hopes. At 3-9 SU and trailing both Toronto and Ottawa by two games in the win column, Montreal absolutely needs to put together a few wins in a row now and it's got to begin this week. Falling another game behind the Argos in the standings basically puts the Alouettes on life support for 2017, and with a 20-7 ATS run in their last 27 games in Toronto, taking these points is the way to go.

    For those of you that are more inclined to a riskier option, backing Montreal on the ML at +250 is another way to attack this game. As I said, it's now or never for the Alouettes this week and with Toronto on a 2-11 ATS run in their last 13 against a team with a losing record, and never covering any point spread this year when coming off a SU win, I'm taking a shot with the ML.

    Not only has Toronto not covered a point spread when off a SU win this year, they've yet to win two games in a row SU in 2017. That's quite a feat when you think about it, so while everyone is extremely down on Montreal after the way they've been playing, the odds are juicy enough to strike and hope for the outright upset.

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      Category : Sports News

      Tag : bc lions , cfl betting , CFL odds , hamilton tiger-cats , montreal alouettes , ottawa redblacks , Toronto Argos

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