New York Yankees at Houston Astros AL Championship Series Predictions
2017 American League Championship Series Betting
The two ALDS series couldn’t have gone much better from a betting standpoing for our free betting picks, as the Houston Astros got rid of the Boston Red Sox rather easily, and the New York Yankees managed to overcome a 2-0 deficit to win three straight and beat the favored Indians. A perfect 2-0 with those picks leads us to this New York vs Houston ALDS that I expected, and it should be a great series from the start.
2017 ALCS Betting Odds – To Win Series
New York Yankees (+160) vs. Houston Astros (-180) - Odds taken from Bet365
If you are a fan of the HR ball, this ALCS is likely going to be a series for you as both of these teams can mash the ball in a hurry. New York and Houston were #1 and #2 respectively in hitting HR’s this season in all of baseball, and chances are we see quite a few more baseballs leaving the yard.
If that’s the case, the winner of this series will be the one that gets better quality pitching from both their starting rotation and their bullpen and each team has the edge in one of those. Houston’s the more starter-dependent team with the likes of Verlander, Keuchel, Peacock, and whomever else they decide to give the nod too, while there’s plenty been written about how good the Yankees bullpen is again this year and just how dominant they can be when given a lead from about the 6th inning on. Executing the pitches and keeping the ball in the yard will be of the utmost importance in this series, and on the whole, the overall edge has to go to Houston in that regard.
Finally, Houston definitely has the deeper lineup from top to bottom and likely AL MVP Jose Altuve leads the way. But unlike New York who heavily relies on the mashing power of their young phenoms like Judge and Sanchez, Altuve has substantial help in front of him and behind him in the order, as there really is no easy out in the Astros lineup. As a team the Astros scored nearly 40 more runs on the year than New York, and had nearly 120 more hits – including 80 more doubles. Continually putting the pressure on the opposing pitcher by lacing double after double is something any pitcher will tell you they hate and that’s clearly one of the Astros strengths.
Who’s Got The Edge Overall?
Houston won the season series between these two teams 5-2 SU, and most of those Astros wins came by multiple runs. The lone time Houston saw New York’s Game 1 starter Masahiro Tanaka, they roughed him up from the start as he was gone after just 1.2 innings of work. The entire Houston lineup should be able to continually put the pressure on the Yankees starters in the early innings, as Houston also averaged 6.14 runs scored per game in those seven games against New York this year. With Houston also having home field for this seven-game set, the edge is decidely in the Astros favor for this series.2017 ALCS Betting Pick: Houston Astros (-180)
It’s not like I’m going out on a limb with this Houston pick, but they were the best team in the AL for the majority of the season, and then they went out and added a guy like P Justin Verlander and his pedigree to the mix. That same naivety that served New York well in their comeback win over Cleveland won’t work as well in this round as there is no way they don’t get at least a little consumed by the pressure of an ALCS. Everyone knows the World Series is the next stop after this round, and while this Yankees core will get their soon, it simply won’t be this year. Houston is too talented, too deep, and won’t take their foot off the gas when they get up on New York like Cleveland did as this series is over in six games.
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