CFL Week 8 Predictions
CFL Today’s Games
Last week’s free CFL betting picks split the board (1-1 ATS) with Saskatchewan staying true to form with their ‘unders’ away from home and Ottawa blowing a late 4th quarter lead to Winnipeg. The loss on Ottawa ATS was especially frustrating because Winnipeg manages to score 10 points in the final three minutes, and did so by getting three FG’s and a rouge. For Ottawa to give the Blue Bombers that many possessions late was rough, but bad beats like that have to be stomached and give you no choice but to move on to the next week.
Moving on to Week 8 is exactly what I’m doing and with three games – the Toronto/Montreal game currently has no point spread with QB Ricky Ray’s status still up in the air – all sitting with the road team laying 2.5 or less points, there are definitely some tempting home underdogs this week.
The three games in that discussion include an unbeaten Edmonton Eskimos team in Ottawa to take on the Redblacks, Winnipeg in Hamilton to take on a Tiger-Cats team still looking for their first win, and B.C in Saskatchewan to conclude the home-and-home series those two have had the past two weeks. Right off the bat I’m sure some of you who have been reading these on a weekly basis will know where I’m going with one selection given the Roughriders are at home, but let’s dive right into the other game that made my betting card this week.
Canadian Football League Picks Week 8
- Edmonton at Ottawa: *Ottawa +2.5 (-115) at Sports Interaction
Although Ottawa burned me last week with their late collapse, I’ve got no hesitation about going back to them this week against the undefeated Eskimos. Ottawa showed a lot of good things for the first 57 minutes of their game a week ago and should be more than capable of winning this game outright. At the time of this writing there isn’t a ML price currently listed on the Redblacks, but I expect it to be around +125 and will likely be on that option as well.
Edmonton may be undefeated, but they aren’t going to remain that way forever, and allowing a bad Hamilton team to get back in their game a week ago and get a back-door ATS win is a little concerning. The fact that Edmonton’s two wins on the road this year have both been by three points also suggests that it’s only a matter of time before they completely slip up and come away with a L away from home sooner then later, and with Ottawa reaching the “put up or shut up” point of their 2017 campaign at 1-5-1 SU, this game sets up great to back the home side.
Ottawa has more than enough firepower on offense to get ahead (and hopefully stay ahead) of Edmonton here, and the fact that the home side is 4-1 SU the last five times these two organizations have played can’t be ignored. Ottawa is 5-2 ATS when coming off a SU loss and 4-0 ATS after failing to cover the point spread in their last outing, and both of those streaks should add another notch in the win column this week.
- BC at Saskatchewan: *Over +55.5 (-110) at Sports Interaction
As I said in last week’s BC/Saskatchewan game in BC, I wasn’t about to back away from the home/road splits for the Roughriders in terms of a play on the total, and I’m not about to change that this week with the Riders back at home. For whatever reason (s), Saskatchewan is simply a much better, and more productive offensive team in front of their home crowd, and with this game being the back end of a home-and-home with BC, that scenario adds even more credence to an ‘over’ play with last week’s game staying ‘under.’
BC thoroughly dominated the Roughriders from start to finish a week ago and if it weren’t for a couple of late TD’s by the Riders during garbage time, that game very well could have been a shutout. This week’s rematch should be very different with the venue change, and while I do believe these home “overs” and road “unders” for Saskatchewan won’t last much longer, flip-flopping the results in home-and-home series’ is another scenario I love to apply to games in any professional sport. Combine that with Saskatchewan’s home/road splits – they average 38.3 points/game at home – and you’ve got a great spot to play an over.
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