2017 NFL Futures Best Picks
I’ve already covered many different ways to attack futures odds for the 2017 NFL season so far here, as things like potential division winners, season win totals for certain teams, and individual prop bets like MVP and ROY have been discussed.
But now it’s time to look at the “main course” of NFL futures betting and that’s which team(s) will find themselves playing for the Lombardi Trophy in Super Bowl 52.
Getting to the actual bets for who will win Super Bowl 52 will come down the road as this NFL futures best picks piece focuses on the teams that offer the best value in terms of odds, combined with a strong likelihood of achieving success in terms of winning their respective conference.
AFC and NFC Conference Champions are the focus here, and in a 2017 NFL season that begins with clear cut favorites, a middling pack of upstarts and teams trending downward, and others in various stages of rebuilding, there is a sound way to attack these futures wagers and expect a solid ROI come late-January when the playoffs are nearly over.
2017 NFL Futures Bets – Conference Champions
The best way to get to teams for Conference Champions futures in the NFL is to combine a variety of other different futures. Dissecting individual team win totals and each franchise’s price to win their respective division can help you narrow down that list of potential Super Bowl participants to a select few and it’s the best way to go. Even with all the surprises we see in the NFL each year, you know there are plenty of teams that simply won’t be involved in the playoff picture or make the “Final Four,” so once you’ve eliminated the lot, it’s time to allocate your bankroll on these bets.
2017 NFC Championship – Outright#1 Green Bay Packers (+400) Sports Interaction
The Packers are the favorites in the NFC and for good reason. They’ve got one of the best QB’s in the world in Aaron Rodgers controlling things, still have a plethora of weapons in the passing game for him to use at his disposal, and found a guy in Ty Montgomery who can give them exactly what they want/need from the RB position.
But aside from stating the obvious that the Packers are a good bet because they are the favorites, when you look at their odds to win the NFC North (-204) and note that they’ll likely see little threat from their division rivals all year long, chances are the road to the Super Bowl will run through Lambeau Field for at least the majority of the playoffs and that’s bad news for the other 15 NFC Teams. Green Bay’s home field advantage in January ranks right up there with the best of them, and should the Packers stay relatively unscatched on the injury front this year, then holding a +400 ticket on them to get to the Super Bowl will have a tremendous amount of value.#2 New York Giants (+900) Sports Interaction
Backing the New York Giants is a riskier pick, but given the news out of Dallas today that they’ll be without RB Ezekiel Elliott for the six games (pending appeal), the path to a NFC East title and possibly a deep playoff run just got a little easier for the G-Men.
Offensively New York can hang with anyone, but where this bet holds its value is with the Giants defense. New York’s unit was 2nd in the NFL in points allowed per game (17.8) behind eventual SB champs New England, and if the Giants can get that kind of continued play on defense this year, then a return trip to the playoffs will definitely be in the cards.
2017 AFC Championship – Outright#1 New England Patriots (+175) Sports Interaction
New England may seem like the obvious choice that noone wants to take because it’s only +175, but let me explain why there is plenty of value there. First off, the Patriots are (-1017) favorites to win the AFC East as they’ll likely cakewalk there way to another division crown. That in turn will lead to a #1 or #2 overall seed in the AFC, and during the Tom Brady era in New England, the Patriots are nearly unbeatable at home in the playoffs. That’s not a path any of the other AFC teams want to have to deal with, but in reality it’s probably what we are going to get this season.
Secondly, while others like Oakland, Pittsburgh, or even Houston or Indy provide higher odds, I’m not sure any of them will test the Patriots much more then their weak AFC East opponents will. Anything CAN happen in the one-game playoff format of the NFL post-season, but the AFC will be dominated by New England again this year, and when you’re getting +175 for them to win two more games than a -1017 bet suggests, you’ve got to take the plus-money every single time.
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