2017 NBA Finals Odds: Warriors vs Cavaliers Game 3
NBA Finals 2017 Game 3
The series changes scenery from the Golden Coast of California to the shores of Lake Erie as the Cleveland Cavaliers play host for game three of the NBA Finals.
The Golden State Warriors handily won the first two games, but the Cavs look to rebound in the comfortable of Quicken Loans Arena. In the 2016 Finals, Cleveland came home down 0-2, but in game three, they dismantled the Warriors 120-90. This year’s Warriors are not going to let that happen again, but Cleveland needs to win game three to have a chance at winning the series.
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|Cleveland||+3.5 (-110)||+140||o226.5 (-110)|
|Golden State||-3.5 (-110)||-165||u226.5 (-110)|
With the series shifting locales, the odds see a change as well. The biggest change is on the moneyline. In the prior two games of the series, the moneyline on Golden State offered minuscule payouts (with it ranging from -365 to -430, depending on the day and time).
Now the line is at -165, a much more profitable betting option. Golden State – even though they are the road team – remains the favourite at -3.5. The over/under increases from game two to its highest total of the 2017 Finals – a half point up from game one at 226.5.
Warriors at Cavaliers Predictions
The spread in game three opened at 3.5, meaning the bookmakers are expecting Cleveland to benefit from playing at home. But let’s go back to the beginning of the 2015 NBA Season:
Golden State and Cleveland have played 21 times. Over this span, there has been only two games decided by less than 3.5 points, their Christmas Day matchup this past regular season, and game two of the 2015 NBA Finals – both Cleveland wins. Even game seven of the 2016 Finals, a notoriously close, back-and-forth battle saw Cleveland win by four points.
Golden State – since the beginning of 2015 – has 13 victories over Cleveland, none of which were by less than six points. Take Golden State on the spread if you think they will win game three.
For the first time in this year’s Finals, the moneyline option on Golden State is a good pick, but again it is not the best pick. Since 2015, Golden State’s average margin of victory over Cleveland is 18.7, and their victory margins range from 6 to 35. Because of this data, take Golden State at -3.5 to increase the payout. For anyone confident Cleveland will rebound at home, taking the Cavaliers on the moneyline is the way to go. For as bad as Cleveland has looked in the 2017 Finals, an argument can be made they are playing better than they did through two games in 2016.
In 2016, Golden State outscored Cleveland by 48 points through the first two games compared to 41 points in 2017. Cleveland needs to win game three, but picking them is a risk only those very confident in LeBron James, and the Cleveland Cavaliers should take.
In some ways, game two of the 2017 NBA Finals was an anomaly. Before game two, Cleveland and Golden State had averaged 201.1 points in their last 20 meetings. Game two saw the two teams break that mark with 9:07 left to play in the fourth quarter.
The offensive outburst in game two opens up a large number of questions for game three. The biggest question has to be whether the Cavaliers will adjust their style of play.
While Cleveland and LBJ have found offensive success playing the way they have, their uptempo, offense orientated playing style has also benefitted the Warriors. History has shown trying to beat the Warriors by outscoring them is a fool’s errand. Cleveland will need to slow things down to win game three. Take the under with a Cleveland moneyline or the over with Golden State at -3.5!
Golden State set a record on Sunday night winning their 14th consecutive postseason game. If they can sweep the series, they would surpass the 2001 Lakers (who went 15-1) for the best record in a single postseason. Sports Interaction offers bettors the option to pick how many games the NBA Finals will go. At +187 on Sports Interaction, bettors can pick the Finals to last four games.
They can also find NBA Prop bets for Finals MVP. Currently, Sports Interaction has Steph Curry as the overwhelming favourite at -4444, but Kevin Durant – at -175 – could snag it from his teammate. If Cleveland can manage to come back and win the Finals, it is hard to dispute LeBron James – currently at +1000 – is the Finals MVP.
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